Weekend Nor'Easter Update

Most forecast computer models are starting to come together indicating some type of significant winter storm event is almost inevitable for our area at this point for the coming weekend. Nevertheless, there are still  more than 48 hours left before the anticipated arrival of the storm in our area so there is plenty of time for forecast revisions.

Every time a winter Nor-Easter forecast rears its head, most people only want to know "how much snow can we expect?"  All I can say about that is it's winter, it's cold and yes, we will probably see a significant, plowable snowfall, but it is much too early to forecast snow accumulations with any certainty for this weather event as a definite track has not been established. 

In any event, there are two factors regarding the pending Nor-Easter which should concern us more than snow accumulations. With a full moon this weekend high tides will run slightly higher than usual and with blocking high pressure to our north, our coastline will be open to persistent onshore winds that will pile up the water along the coast through the weekend and we could be looking at both significant coastal flooding of low lying areas and beach erosion.  

I fully expect that by later this afternoon sufficient data will become available to narrow down the track of the storm and so I would wait until at least this evening, if not Thursday morning, before making any decisions about canceling plans, dinners, trips, flights, etc.

Will keep you advised.