Pages

Friday, June 7, 2013

Post Tropical Cyclone Andrea - Update #10 - (5pm)




STATUS
(as of  5pm June 7, 2013)

[Note:  Changes from last update highlighted in red...]

Category:  Post Tropical Cyclone 
[Note: When a tropical cyclone begins to lose its tropical characteristics, it is deemed post-tropical.  Andrea is now basically a Tropical Rain Storm]

Location:  Storm Center is 377 miles SW of Broad Channel approaching Virginia. Andrea's outer wind bands are 150 miles SE of Broad Channel.

Pressure:  996 mb

Wind Speed:  45 mph

Movement:  NE at  28 mph

Warnings/Advisories: Flash Flood Warning/High Surf Advisory/Coastal Flood Advisory in effect


What Can We Expect?
(Friday through Saturday)

Arrival of Andrea's Center of Circulation in our area:  late Friday night, early Saturday morning.  [Note: The rains from Andrea will precede its center of circulation by 12 hours]

Thunderstorm/Lightning Risk: Low
[NoteThe greatest risk for locally severe thunderstorms would be near and just east of the track of the tropical system's center of circulation.  Broad Channel is forecast to be west of the storm's center so our risk is low.]

Precipitation:  2 to 4+ inches of rain with locally heavier amounts possible

Winds:  Today ESE wind 13-15 mph with higher gusts then the winds will change to NE at 15-20 mph this evening as Andrea moves in.

Tidal Street Flooding?:  Yes [high tide 1-2 feet above astronomical height possible]

Storm Surge?:  None forecast at this time

Power Outage?:  Not anticipated

Public Transportation Disruption?:  Subway and Bus service should not be affected
[NoteTravel delays from blinding tropical downpours, poor drainage area flooding and locally gusty thunderstorms are possible.]

Airport Delays:  JFK - 1hr 26min...LAG - 1hr 28min - Newark - 1hr 36min

Cell Service Disruption?:  Not anticipated

When will storm dissipate?:  Broad Channel should start clearing late Saturday morning.


Summary of  Changes Since Last Update

Andrea is starting to lose some of the storm's tropical characteristics as it has been traveling overland across the Carolinas for some time now and has been reclassified "Post Tropical Storm Andrea".  The winds have shifted and are now from the NE at 13 mph and will increase to 20 mph this evening.  This will not be a "wind event" storm, rather, the main concern for Andrea will be the 2 to 4+ inches of rain that is presently expected and minor tidal street flooding on low elevation roads and streets with this evening's high tide. A Flash Flood Warning has been issued for our area by the National Weather Service at this time.

No comments:

Post a Comment