Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Tropical Status Updated - 3 pm Wed Sept. 14th



In light of the numerous systems presently active in the Atlantic basin I have simplified the advisory/update process to ensure you don't go bleary eyed looking at the data.





As of 2 p.m.,Wednesday, September 14, 2016 there are a total of three (3) active tropical systems in the Atlantic basin.


#1: TROPICAL STORM JULIA



...JULIA JUST OFFSHORE NEAR GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 80.8W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was
located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 80.8 West.  Julia is
moving toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a slow and
erratic motion is expected over the next couple of days.  Julia is
likely to meander near the northern Georgia or southern South
Carolina coastlines through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km),
mainly to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible along
portions of the coasts of Georgia and southern South Carolina today.
Fort Pulaski, Georgia, near Savannah, reported a wind gust to 45 mph
(72 km/h).

RAINFALL:  Julia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches along the immediate coastline of South Carolina
from Georgetown southward, and 2 to 4 inches near Savannah, Georgia.
Isolated maximum amounts up to 10 inches are possible along the
immediate coast of South Carolina.  Julia is expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches elsewhere along the coast
from far northeast Florida to far southern North Carolina.  This
rainfall could lead to flash flooding, especially in Georgia and
South Carolina.

TORNADOES: An isolated tornado is possible across southern South
Carolina today.


#2: TROPICAL STORM IAN



BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IAN ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102016
1100 AM AST WED SEP 14 2016

...IAN MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 53.0W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was
located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 53.0 West.  Ian is
moving toward the north near 20 mph (31 km/h).  A northward motion
at a slower forward speed is expected today and tonight.  A turn
toward the north-northeast and northeast with an increase in
forward speed is expected on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Ian
is expected to lose its tropical characteristics on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


#3: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12



BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1100 AM AST WED SEP 14 2016

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE WESTERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 25.0W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM NW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 25.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h)
and a gradual turn toward the west is expected during the next
couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of the depression
should move through the western islands of Cabo Verde this
afternoon and move away from the islands tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and the
depression could become a tropical storm tonight.  After that time,
some weakening could occur as the cyclone encounters unfavorable
upper-level winds.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are possible over portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands through tonight.

RAINFALL: Locally heavy rains are expected over portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands through Thursday.

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