We are rapidly approaching the most active portion of this year's hurricane season.
Thus far this season there have been four (4) Tropical Storms, "Andrea", "Barry", "Chantal" and "Dorian". none of which have managed to maintain themselves long enough to seriously impact our area here in Broad Channel.
The most typical constraint for the early part of tropical season is water temperature. The water warms slower than the land, making late summer and early fall the time for the most favorable water temperature.
Also, a massive Saharan Dust plume continues to push off the coast of Africa, covering much of the Atlantic. The dust is associated with dry, desert air, providing the opposite of the moisture-rich habit needed for storms to strengthen.
Upper level wind shear has also been fighting the tropical waves moving across the Atlantic. High winds continue to blow from west to east, opposite of the usual pattern across the Caribbean, shredding storms that enter the region.
Finally, recently, the water temperature has been a few degrees below average near the Antilles and along with the dust and shear, this has kept tropical season thus far unremarkable.
Some or all of the above constraints may soon start to devolve as we approach mid-August making conditions favorable for the formation of tropical systems and we may see an uptick in stronger tropical systems which could ultimately impact our area.
Some or all of the above constraints may soon start to devolve as we approach mid-August making conditions favorable for the formation of tropical systems and we may see an uptick in stronger tropical systems which could ultimately impact our area.
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